Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Memories of George Bush & the Iraq War…

Photo by Library of Congress on Unsplash

Note: I composed this blog back on 5/18/2016 per my records, but then again this could just be the date of the old print-out I used; not totally sure.  In any event, I composed this no later than then. I also altered this for spelling, punctuation, SEO-ing, and that's it, save for italicizing one phrase in Latin.

The Iraq War Started with Desert Storm…

Whenever I think of George Bush and His Iraq War, I inevitably look back to his father, and the Persian Gulf

War, two decades previous. It was a warm August day in 1990 when the news came over the radio that

Kuwait was invaded, and events were set in motion.


I had always loved war histories growing up, and here in front of me was a chance to follow a major

military operation in real-time over the news wires, and certainly didn't pass up the biggest foreign

involvement since Vietnam. Via radio, cable, and broadcast, I stayed tuned, and listened, enthralled.

The night in 1991, when the Storm was unleashed, I recall well staying glued to our cathode-ray tv,

channel turned to CNN. To say “excited” doesn't begin to cover it.


And it ended well—well, mostly. We wonned, and hardly a man died, even if Saddam stayed in power.

In largely an act of remorse, the senior Bush erected no-fly-zones, and sanctions to contain him, and

largely left it at that.


Ah, but something was only beginning.

The Road to Iraqi Freedom

In the years that followed, Saddam emerged in pop culture as something of a boogeyman, and a

recurring low-level headache, reminding us that we'd never finished the job, and fighter pilots were

still risking their lives to contain him. And, nobody liked the fact he'd never been fully dis-armed.

South Park made him into cartoonish mischief maker; in the Hot Shot movie franchise, he made

both—the first, in cameo, and in the second, as the main villain. He also made the Sunday Funnies,

too.


Am I the only one that remembers?


Beyond that, in the wake of the Desert Storm, and more excitingly, at the end of the Cold War, and

the Soviet Union's breakup, US confidence had pretty much recovered. In light of that, how the war

ended seemed especially annoying.


And, there were also intermittent incidents, coming outta Iraq, that had people worried, like when he

pushed out inspectors, bullied the Kurds, and issued incendiary declarations. Increasingly, our

sanction-allies were getting antsy, and our credibility was on the line.


And this was the Clinton presidency, no less. Entering the 2000 election, Gore's team was seen as the

Iraq hawks, not Dubya's. It didn't matter much to most voters, but to this twenty-two-year-old, it did

to me. I still voted to Bush, but I never really was that enthused; John McCain was my first choice,

and for the record, I've mourned the fact he lost the nomination, ever since.


I didn't have much expectations over Bush concerning Iraq, but I wasn't really beating on a war

drum, either. The time just wasn't right—and then the 11th occurred. I was the only one I knew that

wasn't very interested in invading Afghanistan, and that was because of our Iraq commitments.


I also wasn't wild about our hastily-planned autumn offensive versus the Taliban with Rashid Dostum, of the Northern

the Northern Alliance. A primitive offensive? On horses? With approaching winter? It reeked of failure, to

me—failure, and political considerations taking precedence over the martial. I was pleasantly

surprised, but I was still focused on Iraq—as, it seemed, were most of the policymakers.


Afghanistan was a sideshow, right? Bin Laden came from Saudi Arabia, and he had formed al Qaida

because of anger over our continued military involvement there, out of all our anti-Saddam efforts.

Our restraint after Desert Storm just couldn't catch us a break—but could crumple skyscrapers.


People keep complaining about Bush using weapons of mass destruction as the casus belli for war,

but that was largely for legal-political reasons; as is, everyone, even the French, agreed that Saddam

had them, and that was certainly less than good. After all, when Obama called for congressional

support of his infamous “red line” back in 2013, he used the same tack as Bush, and for the same

reasons—which may well have been an error, given the outcome, but does explain something, I think.


Out of all the reasons for ridding the earth of Saddam, weapons of mass destruction didn't even

register. To me, it was all about architecting a new Middle East—a better one. Oh, I never made

a dime off of oil speculation. Can't speak for other neoconservatives, but that was true at least for

me.


I had long wanted Saddam eliminated, and I certainly wasn't alone, but how? I certainly never imagined

it would occur the way it would, that's for sure. I always figured the US would peruse itself on one of

Saddam's recurring incidents, and just lay the hammer down in response.


One proposal, I later heard of, in a magazine I'd read around the time of the invasion, was to use our

aircraft to establish and defend a beach-head made of refugees, which would be expanded in time.

At the time, even then, I was puzzled why this was never tried; I certainly wasn't gloating, that's for

sure.


I was worried even then over the bad blood for and against the invasion, and truly wasn't interested in

its continuance, given it could lead to...the increased political bitterness of today. A minimalist

approach, not all that dissimilar from the Northern Alliance I'd been against the year before, seemed

more than satisfactory, and quite possibly more palatable to national and international opposition.

The Iraq Invasion in Retrospect

Opponents of the invasion have years later lamented that we could've done “anything” in the

wake of the 11th, but when Bush decided to use it to remove a long-term torn in the side of the US,

and the international order, many balked, despite the outpouring of sympathy. If so, then, it wasn't

about removing Saddam, but how.


No one, unfortunately, has ever explained to me how Bush could have done so sans international

outcry. I think was possible, but I'm the only one I'm aware of to toss out such a scenario. As it

was, Bush was very tone-deaf, but well-meaning, and operating on an internal time-table. In any

event, he should have listened more to other other international leaders, and shown concern for

their concerns, but did not.


I avidly followed the planning for war, in any event, reading about the day after, and the

administration's plans for it. I even read my mother The Savage Wars of Peace, by Max Boot,

recounting the “small war” history of the United States, and how we forgot our successes with them,

entering Vietnam. Unlike most, I don't think we would have had more success in Afghanistan had we

not only re-focused on Iraq, but it would have helped had we focused on counter-insurgency from the

get-go.


I had a lot of confidence in Bush's team, then, and the invasion itself was and act of brilliance, I must

say. In college, then, I was accosted by an anti-war activist, who called what we were doing

“colonialism.”


Me: “You know, colonialism has its advantages. Britain, you know, who's helping, is a product of

colonialism, hereself. She was once a part of the Roman Empire.”


Her: “The Romans reached Britain?”


You know, stupidity isn't completely confined to conservatives—right? For as much as Dubya went on

to seemingly confirm certain stereotypes, I've never forgotten that moment. Liberals may get better

press, but that doesn't mean they don't make gaffes—like lousy education.


As is, like so many other war proponents, I just couldn't fathom how badly Bush botched “the day

after,” or that they forces on the ground wouldn't execute the beginning of the post-war plan they'd

spent so long to construct.

Retrospection on the Iraq War, Itself...

Looking back, I still think the Iraq War could have worked, but for mismanagement like Abu Ghraib, but

beyond that, I now realize legitimacy matters much more than I understood, much more. I don't

believe what Zbigniew Brzezinski said, namely that Iraq was just neo-colonialism in a time that

wasn't tolerant of it, but that's because because things, on the other hand have worked pretty well,

in part, in Afghanistan, given a) we had more legitimacy, entering in 2001, compared to Iraq, in 2003,

and b) for all our failings, we manged to avoid undiermining our legitimacy to the degree we did in Iraq.

In any event, “neocolonialism,” or whatever call it, has has been good for Japan, and Germany; it's

also been good for South Korea, too. The verdict seems unclear for Afghanistan, but If her trajectory

stays the course, I expect the conclusion to be positive there, too. They know they need us, post-Karzai,

and that is positive.


Back in 2008, during Obama's anti-Bush backlash, I could empathize with much of the movement's

frustration with Bush, but I still couldn't help but feel like they were using a sledgehammer to crack a

nut. George Bush's style could be frustrating, but still, when I hear stuff where the Bush year's intervention

was “at the heart” of the foreign policy, I can't help but be annoyed. Dubya did more than that, like

like push for international treaties, but that shows just how badly Bush's critics were obsessed with

his failings, which largely led to Obama's greatest failing, down in Syria.


For my part, I feel grieved by him, but not angry. Even so, a lot of folks think Bush lied, and when

a rash of conservative politicians in 2014 defended the Iraq War, it not only made news, it made the

covers of Mad Magazine. I can say, Hey, Bush made some errors, but I can let it go—why can't

you?

All too many cannot, and it's bad for everyone; I can take responsibility for what limited role I had in

what happened, and feel no need to demand that somebody say, “I lied.” As I've made clear, there are

plenty of good reasons to support George Bush, and when I hear some writer from Salon.com call the invasion

“evil,” like I did last year, I can't help but take umbrage.


Don't call politicians “evil” lightly; I certainly don't. To that end I don't call Neville Chamberlain evil,

for as much as he enabled the evil that was Adolf Hitler. To that end I have also spared Barack

Obama it as well, despite all his neo-appeasement.


Such rhetoric raises the stakes, and I don't think you want to go there.


Afghanistan: This Ordeal Will in the Long Term Be Good for Its Development

Photo free to use from Unsplash.

Note: I composed this blog back on 5/26/2016 per my records, but then again this could just be the date of the old print-out I used; not totally sure.  In any event, I composed this no later than then.  I altered this for spelling, punctuation, and SEO, but I also had to add a little more text to this article to make it make any sense.

I don't like to do this sort of thing.  

Why I'm Bullish over Afghanistan

Well, folks, for all my tough love sentiment, never take me for a pessimist—I ain't. Places like Afghanistan are in a mighty bad place, but even so, they could still be worse—a lot worse. Back when we were only beginning counter-insurgency work there, in 2002, I distinctly recall him saying that this kind of task takes roughly twenty years, and here we are, more than halfway through. If we start counting from early 2002, when our first Afghan military training began, then we're fourteen years through.

Can't we congratulate ourselves for having stuck it out this far? If we can just tough it out a bit longer, then we'll be the most successful westerners to leave a mark here since Alexander the Great founded the Bactrian Kingdom.

Why Can't We Celebrate Our Afghan Success?

We've thus far not simply endured the bullets 'n bombs of the Taliban, but also the toxic rantings of Hamid Karzai, and the ghosts of Vietnam, as well as all the repeated nay-saying, back home. And, what else must we endure betwixt now and the end, anywho? We've also endured an apathetic president, who, according to Robert Gates, at least, doesn't truly believe in the mission, but yet has done a pretty good job here, even so.

We've endured setbacks, fickle allies, and plenty of PR pitfall, but despite that, the Afghan military is still in the field, and while we still need to be there, too, our presence is still far from the peak of involvement. The goal is to exercise our leverage, and that is all our firepower from the air; well, we have been moving towards that, with some hiccups, in between, the handover of military control following the 2014 Afghan Election being foremost.

In Defense of Hamid Karzai

The bad news of that has been obvious: The Taliban has never held so much territory since 2001, and their brief taking of Kunduz rattled souls, but that has obscured the positive. And that, friend, is that it showed them just how much they need us. Karzai's rhetoric harbored certain fantasies, but the Taliban has kindly shattered them.

Look, he said. The Taliban are riled up because of all those nasty foreigners, and if they left, we'd be able to simply patch things up, with them, as all true Afghans can. For all his screeds, he had a certain amount of truth, and as nationalist to fellow nationalist, I could still sympathize, and even root, for him.

He didn't want to be labeled a Vichy traitor, and for that, who can blame him?

His words bittered the waters, but still, the training, raids, and patrols proceeded. His handling of a continued US presence, as well as Afghan elections, clearly, left much to be desired, but they still bore their own punishments.

Thanks to his banning international observers, it directly led to the disputed election of Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah Abdullah, and that fiasco, thanks to Karzai, has only succeeded in re-asserting the need for international involvement.

Thanks to the premature, or poorly done, handover of security to the Afghans, much of the same has occurred. A lot of people have needlessly died, but still, it was a lesson both the Afghan people, and their leaders, needed to learn.

Thanks to Karzai and all his vitriol, he has sucked up much of the poison his successors would have otherwise felt to needle us with. It stings, but still, Ghani and Abdullah, needing to run against Karzai, were duly obliged to play the good cop to US involvement in Afghanistan, as opposed to Karzai's gad cop. Usually, the incumbent plays the maligned ally's defender, but Karzai done flipped the script, did he not?

But enough of Afghan macro-politics, for now. Instead let's look at the US withdrawal though the eyes of a theoretical Afghan Army Officer, shall we?

The US Withdrawal from Afghanistan Through the Eyes of an Afghan Army Officer

At first, he welcomes handover. And then the pay starts getting...irregular. And the chow's not as good. Patrol missions stop being as orderly, too, and the enemy notices.

And oh, how he notices.

More firefights than usual. And more casualties, as well. You call for reinforcements, only to be told that you're it. Desertions increase in the meantime, and tide rises. In time, you're hunkered down in yer outpost. Just outside the village, enduring a daily dose of shelling.

And then local elder appears a guy you've had a decent relationship with, but the message is black. Take your men and go, he says. He can guarantee safe passage for week, but after that, they'll attack, and the village will support them, when they do.

The week passes slowly. Your regular reports to HQ become a rite of hope, and despair. You're on your own, and everyone knows it. And yet you still report—a soldier's due ritual.

But this time, you hear an unexpected voice, penetrating the monotonous crackle. One with an American accent.

And at that, you feel obliged to thank your God.

Afghanistan's Future, Going Forward...

Currently, at the time of this writing, Kabul is feeling unease over Ghani and Abdullah's divvied government, but at least they're not blaming foreigners for the ongoing gridlock; no. Security coordination has improved, and for that, and for the consequences of us not being there, they aren't complaining. And, the public, more pleasingly, aren't, either.

The public, instead is blaming their government itself, and that's a good sign. To that end, they've formed a party on the platform of demanding early elections, and are threatening it with protests, should their demands go unmet.

Al least, they're not talking coups, or revolution; democracies aren't all liberal, and sometimes, take an ill-liberal hue, especially when first formed; that seems to fit the Afghan variety, at present, to a T.

Yeah, Afghanistan has problems, great problems, but then again, 17th century Britain, awash in religious and democratic ferment, had great problems, as well. In fifty years, if we can just stay on our present course, I think this will be looked back a a big success, but the labor pains are too severe for us to look to that perspective.

You can call me a dreamer, but I don't think, if we can just stay on the bronco, that it's a waste. Democratic habits take time to form, and the concept of process starts with mindset. If their security forces can just jell, and the Taliban can be incorporated into the the political process, then I think they've got a good chance of hanging onto the democracy they've been handed. They say ethnically diverse countries hang on to democracy better than the ethnically homogenous, and for that, we can only hope.

At least, I do.


A Thorough Analysis of the Missing 411 Map by David Paulides

Karst Map of the Conterminous (AKA Underground) United States - 2020 Public domain usage by  Communications and Publishing May 2020 (approx....